Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense

Inizio: 2026-08-24 23:00 UTC

Finale: Botafogo 2–3 Atletico Paranaense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 39.53%2.53quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.473%
Kelly -0.788%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.84%39.65%39.56%41.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.63%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Atletico Paranaense (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.45%3.18quota equa
EV +0.012%
Vantaggio +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.60%31.39%31.40%33.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.962.923.1836.36%33.84%34.19%31.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.02%3.45quota equa
EV +1.000%
Vantaggio +0.287%
Kelly +0.403%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.69%28.96%29.04%29.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.193.203.4833.33%31.38%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Botafogo (Casa): 39.53%; Atletico Paranaense (Trasferta): 31.45%; Pareggio: 29.02%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.45. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.48, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.000%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -1.18%E -0.473%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.25%EV -8.17%E -2.80%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV +1.000%E +0.287%K +0.403%G +0.004%3.0%2026-08-24 22:54
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 22:54
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 22:43
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.80%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -1.56%E -0.499%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 22:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.08%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.01%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-24 22:14
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 22:39
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 22:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:39
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 22:35
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 22:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:39
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:34
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:38
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -7.85%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 19:09
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.04%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 22:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.72%E -2.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -5.02%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 22:54
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 22:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 22:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 22:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.51%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-24 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.66%EV -10.27%E -4.53%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.76%EV -9.16%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 22:37
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.05%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 22:39
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 22:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 22:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 22:49
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.85%-0.0%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-24 22:54
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-24 22:55
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-08-24 22:54