Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-24 23:00 UTC

Score final : Botafogo 2–3 Atletico Paranaense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botafogo (Local)

Prévision 39.53%2.53cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -0.788%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.84%39.65%39.56%41.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.63%42.55%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.45%3.18cote équitable
EV +0.012%
Avantage +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.60%31.39%31.40%33.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.962.923.1836.36%33.84%34.19%31.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.02%3.45cote équitable
EV +1.000%
Avantage +0.287%
Kelly +0.403%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.69%28.96%29.04%29.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.203.4833.33%31.38%31.25%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botafogo (Local) : 39.53% ; Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur) : 31.45% ; Match nul : 29.02%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.45. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.48, soit une espérance positive de +1.000%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -1.18%E -0.473%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.25%EV -8.17%E -2.80%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV +1.000%E +0.287%K +0.403%G +0.004%3.0%2026-08-24 22:54
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 22:54
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 22:43
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.80%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -1.56%E -0.499%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 22:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.08%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.01%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-24 22:14
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 22:39
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 22:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:39
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 22:35
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 22:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:39
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:34
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:38
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -7.85%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 19:09
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.04%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 22:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.72%E -2.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -5.02%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 22:54
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 22:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 22:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 22:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.51%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-24 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.66%EV -10.27%E -4.53%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.76%EV -9.16%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 22:37
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.05%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 22:39
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 22:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 22:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 22:49
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.85%-0.0%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-24 22:54
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-24 22:55
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-08-24 22:54