赔率学院

Bahia v Grêmio

开赛时间: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Bahia 1–1 Grêmio

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Bahia (主队)

预测 56.30%1.78公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -4.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布
54.59%56.27%56.33%58.08%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.571.651.651.7263.69%60.54%60.61%58.14%MIN均值中位数MAX

Grêmio (客队)

预测 19.45%5.14公平赔率
EV +4.23%
优势 +0.789%
Kelly +0.970%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 5.36

博彩公司预测分布
18.09%19.45%19.41%21.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.204.844.905.3623.81%20.67%20.41%18.66%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 24.25%4.12公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -0.317%
Kelly -0.420%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.07

博彩公司预测分布
23.68%24.28%24.26%26.37%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.253.803.804.0730.77%26.33%26.32%24.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.08%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.09%EV +4.23%E +0.789%K +0.970%G +0.041%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.83%EV -1.29%E -0.317%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 18:55
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.62%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.12%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 18:40
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.62%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.12%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 18:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.37%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.71%EV +0.147%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.92%EV -2.26%E -0.561%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 18:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -7.67%E -4.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -0.825%E -0.162%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:55
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -0.825%E -0.162%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:25
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 17:25
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 17:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:36
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:36
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:36
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:55
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 18:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.61%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.98%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:55
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.61%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.98%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.87%EV -7.67%E -4.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:50
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.36%EV -4.33%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.29%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.36%EV -4.33%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.29%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.70%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.71%E -0.962%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -7.67%E -4.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -4.71%E -0.962%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 18:35
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.23%E -5.05%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -4.71%E -0.962%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 18:40
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.43%EV -4.91%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 18:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 18:55
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 18:35
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.48%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 18:36
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.48%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 18:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.99%E -0.747%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:24
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.99%E -0.747%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 17:25
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 17:25
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 17:23
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -8.60%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 17:25
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 17:25
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.49%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 17:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.79%E -5.43%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.49%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -12.49%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -21.18%E -6.52%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-17 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.58%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.11%EV -13.47%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.32%EV -10.75%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -7.67%E -4.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.33%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -16.38%E -3.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -13.90%E -3.92%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.15%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.33%E -4.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 17:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-17 18:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-17 18:55