مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bahia v Grêmio

البداية: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Bahia 1–1 Grêmio

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bahia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.30%1.78السعر العادل
EV -3.16%
الأفضلية -1.84%
Kelly -4.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.59%56.27%56.33%58.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.651.651.7263.69%60.54%60.61%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.45%5.14السعر العادل
EV +4.23%
الأفضلية +0.789%
Kelly +0.970%
النمو +0.041%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.09%19.45%19.41%21.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.844.905.3623.81%20.67%20.41%18.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.25%4.12السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.317%
Kelly -0.420%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.68%24.28%24.26%26.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.803.804.0730.77%26.33%26.32%24.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.08%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.09%EV +4.23%E +0.789%K +0.970%G +0.041%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.83%EV -1.29%E -0.317%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 18:55
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.62%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.12%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 18:40
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.62%EV -3.16%E -1.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.12%E +0.215%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 18:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.37%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.71%EV +0.147%E +0.029%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.92%EV -2.26%E -0.561%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 18:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -7.67%E -4.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -0.825%E -0.162%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:55
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -0.825%E -0.162%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:25
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 17:25
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 17:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:36
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:36
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:36
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:55
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -2.77%E -0.554%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 18:55
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.61%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.98%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:55
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.61%EV -6.54%E -3.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.98%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.87%EV -7.67%E -4.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -3.74%E -0.756%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:50
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.36%EV -4.33%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.29%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.36%EV -4.33%E -0.879%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.29%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.70%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.71%E -0.962%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.20%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.43%EV -7.67%E -4.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -4.71%E -0.962%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 18:35
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -8.23%E -5.05%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -4.71%E -0.962%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 18:40
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.43%EV -4.91%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 18:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 18:55
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 18:35
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.48%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 18:36
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -6.66%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.48%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 18:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.99%E -0.747%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:24
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.99%E -0.747%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 17:25
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 17:25
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.10%E -4.31%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -7.63%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 17:23
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -4.85%E -2.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -8.60%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 17:25
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 17:25
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.98%E -3.58%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.55%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.29%E -2.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -12.49%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 17:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.79%E -5.43%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.49%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -12.49%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -21.18%E -6.52%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-17 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.58%EV -9.36%E -5.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.11%EV -13.47%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.32%EV -10.75%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.60%EV -7.67%E -4.67%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.33%EV -11.61%E -7.39%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -16.38%E -3.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -13.90%E -3.92%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.15%EV -9.92%E -6.20%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.33%E -4.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 17:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-17 18:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-05-17 18:55