Oddsskolan

Bahia v Chapecoense

Matchstart: 2026-02-25 21:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Bahia (Hemma)

Prognos 59.68%1.68rättvist odds
EV -3.92%
Fördel -2.44%
Kelly -6.43%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.99%59.64%59.57%61.07%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.441.551.551.6169.44%64.61%64.52%62.11%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Chapecoense (Borta)

Prognos 16.13%6.20rättvist odds
EV +0.840%
Fördel +0.134%
Kelly +0.160%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.27%16.14%16.18%17.47%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.005.735.756.2520.00%17.46%17.39%16.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.19%4.13rättvist odds
EV -3.24%
Fördel -0.810%
Kelly -1.08%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.27%24.22%24.25%25.91%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.303.783.804.0030.30%26.43%26.32%25.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV +0.840%E +0.134%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV +0.840%E +0.134%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-20 05:50
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.07%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV +0.033%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 06:10
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.56%EV -6.91%E -4.43%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.34%EV -0.612%E -0.099%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.10%EV -5.18%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 22:15
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:50
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 18:04
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-20 13:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -4.81%E -0.815%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-20 05:38
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:40
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.45%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-20 05:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.45%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-20 05:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -3.92%E -2.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.12%E -3.22%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-20 05:40
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-20 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:40
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-20 12:15
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.76%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:40
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 21:21
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:40
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:40
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:40
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:50
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 21:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 02:49
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 02:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 01:54
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-23 05:14
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.41%EV -14.07%E -9.77%K -31.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.14%EV -14.49%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-22 03:04
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -15.29%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-20 17:56
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -15.29%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-22 21:04
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.02%EV -14.07%E -9.77%K -31.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.34%EV -16.10%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.63%EV -16.55%E -4.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-23 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.30%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.98%EV -17.71%E -3.47%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-23 05:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -20.17%E -6.11%K -8.77%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-22 21:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-02-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-02-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-02-23 22:25