L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Bahia v Chapecoense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bahia (Local)
Prévision 59.68%1.68cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -6.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.99%59.64%59.57%61.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.551.6169.44%64.61%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chapecoense (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.13%6.20cote équitable
EV +0.840%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.160%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.27%16.14%16.18%17.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.735.756.2520.00%17.46%17.39%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.19%4.13cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.810%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.27%24.22%24.25%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.783.804.0030.30%26.43%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV +0.840%E +0.134%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV +0.840%E +0.134%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.07%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV +0.033%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 06:10 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.56%EV -6.91%E -4.43%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 6.16I 16.23%NM 15.34%EV -0.612%E -0.099%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.10%EV -5.18%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 22:15 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 18:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-20 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -4.81%E -0.815%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-20 05:38 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.45%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.45%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -3.92%E -2.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.12%E -3.22%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-20 12:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.76%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 21:21 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-20 05:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-22 21:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-22 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 01:54 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 01:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-23 05:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.41%EV -14.07%E -9.77%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.14%EV -14.49%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-22 03:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -15.29%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-20 17:56 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -15.29%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-22 21:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.02%EV -14.07%E -9.77%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.34%EV -16.10%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.63%EV -16.55%E -4.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-02-23 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.30%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.98%EV -17.71%E -3.47%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-23 05:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -20.17%E -6.11%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-22 21:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-02-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-02-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-02-23 22:25 |