مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bahia v Chapecoense

البداية: 2026-02-25 21:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bahia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.68%1.68السعر العادل
EV -3.92%
الأفضلية -2.44%
Kelly -6.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.99%59.64%59.57%61.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.551.551.6169.44%64.61%64.52%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chapecoense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.13%6.20السعر العادل
EV +0.840%
الأفضلية +0.134%
Kelly +0.160%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.27%16.14%16.18%17.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.735.756.2520.00%17.46%17.39%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.19%4.13السعر العادل
EV -3.24%
الأفضلية -0.810%
Kelly -1.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.27%24.22%24.25%25.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.783.804.0030.30%26.43%26.32%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV +0.840%E +0.134%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV +0.840%E +0.134%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-20 05:50
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.07%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV +0.033%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 06:10
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.56%EV -6.91%E -4.43%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.34%EV -0.612%E -0.099%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.10%EV -5.18%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 22:15
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:40
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -1.58%E -0.259%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:50
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 18:04
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.19%E -0.532%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-20 13:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -4.81%E -0.815%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-20 05:38
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:40
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.45%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-20 05:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.45%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -6.42%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-20 05:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -3.92%E -2.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.12%E -3.22%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-20 05:40
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-20 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:40
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-20 12:15
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.76%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:40
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.23%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 21:21
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -9.65%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:40
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:40
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:40
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:50
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.52%E -2.82%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 21:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 02:49
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -11.26%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 02:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 01:54
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.87%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-23 05:14
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.41%EV -14.07%E -9.77%K -31.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.14%EV -14.49%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-22 03:04
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -5.71%E -3.62%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -15.29%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-20 17:56
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -8.70%E -5.68%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -15.29%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-22 21:04
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.02%EV -14.07%E -9.77%K -31.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.34%EV -16.10%E -3.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.63%EV -16.55%E -4.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-23 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.30%EV -12.87%E -8.82%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.98%EV -17.71%E -3.47%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-23 05:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -19.33%E -3.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -20.17%E -6.11%K -8.77%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-22 21:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-02-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-02-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-02-23 22:25