Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras

2026-10-17 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Paranaense (Casa)

Previsione 32.11%3.11quota equa
EV +4.34%
Vantaggio +1.34%
Kelly +1.93%
Crescita +0.084%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.38%31.89%32.52%33.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.962.983.2539.22%33.79%33.61%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Palmeiras (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.28%2.55quota equa
EV -2.98%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.00%39.46%38.92%41.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.292.252.4747.62%43.60%44.44%40.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.62%3.49quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -0.795%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.59%28.65%28.56%29.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.213.233.4032.26%31.14%31.01%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Atletico Paranaense (Casa): 32.11%; Palmeiras (Trasferta): 39.28%; Pareggio: 28.62%. Per Atletico Paranaense (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.11. 10 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.25, con un valore atteso positivo del +4.34%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +4.34%E +1.34%K +1.93%G +0.084%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +4.34%E +1.34%K +1.93%G +0.084%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -12.80%E -5.77%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -12.80%E -5.77%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.59%E -6.18%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 13:59
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -3.68%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -14.77%E -6.80%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.29%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 13:58
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.75%EV -5.93%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -2.98%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -3.28%E -0.969%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.89%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.89%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:01
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -11.71%E -4.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.83%EV -8.87%E -3.83%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.42%EV -9.29%E -2.93%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -13.32%E -4.93%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -17.52%E -8.34%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -16.53%E -6.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -11.62%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -18.13%E -7.11%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -11.62%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.83%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 33.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 38.06%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.86%16.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Kalshi◎2.53I 39.53%NM 33.09%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.86%19.5%2026-10-10 17:00