Idioma:Español
Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras
Resultado del partido
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Predicción 32.11%3.11momio equitativo
EV +4.34%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +1.93%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.38%31.89%32.52%33.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.962.983.2539.22%33.79%33.61%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Palmeiras (Visitante)
Predicción 39.28%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.00%39.46%38.92%41.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.292.252.4747.62%43.60%44.44%40.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.62%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -0.795%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.59%28.65%28.56%29.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.233.4032.26%31.14%31.01%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atletico Paranaense (Local): 32.11%; Palmeiras (Visitante): 39.28%; Empate: 28.62%. Para Atletico Paranaense (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.11. 10 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +4.34%E +1.34%K +1.93%G +0.084% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +4.34%E +1.34%K +1.93%G +0.084% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -12.80%E -5.77%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -12.80%E -5.77%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.59%E -6.18%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -3.68%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -14.77%E -6.80%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.29%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.75%EV -5.93%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -2.98%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -3.28%E -0.969%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.89%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.89%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -11.71%E -4.26%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.83%EV -8.87%E -3.83%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.42%EV -9.29%E -2.93%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -13.32%E -4.93%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -17.52%E -8.34%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -16.53%E -6.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -11.62%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -18.13%E -7.11%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -11.62%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.83%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 38.06% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.86% | 16.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 33.09% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.05% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.86% | 19.5% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |