Langue:Français
Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras
Résultat du match
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Prévision 32.11%3.11cote équitable
EV +4.34%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +1.93%
Croissance +0.084%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.38%31.89%32.52%33.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.962.983.2539.22%33.79%33.61%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Palmeiras (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.28%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.00%39.46%38.92%41.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.252.4747.62%43.60%44.44%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.62%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -0.795%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.59%28.65%28.56%29.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.213.233.4032.26%31.14%31.01%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Atletico Paranaense (Local) : 32.11% ; Palmeiras (Visiteur) : 39.28% ; Match nul : 28.62%. Pour Atletico Paranaense (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.11. 10 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.25, pour une espérance positive de +4.34%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +4.34%E +1.34%K +1.93%G +0.084% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV +4.34%E +1.34%K +1.93%G +0.084% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.77%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -12.80%E -5.77%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV +1.13%E +0.359%K +0.526%G +0.006% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -12.80%E -5.77%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.59%E -6.18%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -2.08%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -14.37%E -6.59%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -3.68%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -14.77%E -6.80%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.29%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.70%E -3.28%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.75%EV -5.93%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -2.98%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -3.28%E -0.969%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.89%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.89%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.52%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -11.71%E -4.26%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.83%EV -8.87%E -3.83%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.42%EV -9.29%E -2.93%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -13.32%E -4.93%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -17.52%E -8.34%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -16.53%E -6.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -11.62%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -18.13%E -7.11%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -11.62%E -5.17%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.83%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (2)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 38.06% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.86% | 16.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 33.09% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.05% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.86% | 19.5% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |