The School of Odds

Atletico Paranaense v Internacional

2026-07-25 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Local)

Prediction 47.18%2.12fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%47.09%47.21%48.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.951.982.0557%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Internacional (Visit)

Prediction 23.85%4.19fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%23.79%23.86%25.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.833.804.0029%26%26%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%29.12%28.92%30.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.143.203.3034%32%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.83%EV -3.28%E -1.60%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.18%EV -4.69%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 18:44
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 14:44
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 14:44
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 15:04
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 14:49
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 15:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 15:04
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 15:04
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -6.11%E -3.07%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.46%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 18:44
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 18:24
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 18:24
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.88%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 14:44
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.00%E -4.10%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 14:44
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -9.41%E -4.90%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 14:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.88%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.37%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 14:49
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -9.88%E -5.18%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -16.52%E -4.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.94%EV -14.13%E -7.76%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-17 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.93%EV -15.07%E -8.37%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-17 14:44
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.16%EV -15.55%E -8.69%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.11%EV -11.04%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-17 14:48
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.63%EV -16.96%E -9.64%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.95%EV -16.52%E -4.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.42%EV -14.54%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-17 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.