La scuola delle quote

Atletico Paranaense v Internacional

Inizio: 2026-07-25 21:30 UTC

Finale: Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Internacional

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Casa)

Previsione 47.53%2.10quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -1.49%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.14%47.51%47.60%48.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.841.951.952.0454.35%51.22%51.28%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Internacional (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.69%4.22quota equa
EV +6.59%
Vantaggio +1.46%
Kelly +1.88%
Crescita +0.124%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.45%23.67%23.62%25.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.024.004.5027.78%24.88%25.00%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.78%3.47quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -0.714%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.82%28.82%28.78%29.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.203.3933.33%31.20%31.25%29.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +6.59%E +1.46%K +1.88%G +0.124%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 20:55
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +6.59%E +1.46%K +1.88%G +0.124%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -8.27%E -4.29%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +3.04%E +0.699%K +0.907%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:55
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -8.27%E -4.29%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +3.04%E +0.699%K +0.907%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -8.27%E -4.29%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +3.04%E +0.699%K +0.907%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:55
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -8.27%E -4.29%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +3.04%E +0.699%K +0.907%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:55
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -8.27%E -4.29%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +3.04%E +0.699%K +0.907%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -8.27%E -4.29%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV +3.04%E +0.699%K +0.907%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:55
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.76%EV -8.75%E -4.56%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV +3.04%E +0.699%K +0.907%G +0.028%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 20:55
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.77%EV -9.22%E -4.83%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +1.85%E +0.431%K +0.562%G +0.010%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.80%EV -10.17%E -5.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +1.85%E +0.431%K +0.562%G +0.010%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 20:55
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.96%EV -0.040%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.59%EV -2.42%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 21:19
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.58%EV -11.12%E -5.95%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -0.514%E -0.122%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -12.21%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.58%EV -11.12%E -5.95%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -0.514%E -0.122%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -12.21%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 20:55
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.58%EV -11.12%E -5.95%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -0.514%E -0.122%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -12.21%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 20:55
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -3.52%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.52%EV -2.65%E -0.644%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 21:20
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -3.52%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.52%EV -2.65%E -0.644%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 21:20
BetAnything2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -3.52%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.52%EV -2.65%E -0.644%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 21:20
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.43%EV -3.04%E -1.49%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%EV -2.88%E -0.703%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.97%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 21:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.88%E -0.703%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 21:05
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.88%E -0.703%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 19:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.25%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 21:20
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.80%E -4.02%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.07%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -6.74%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:10
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.38%EV -5.42%E -2.72%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.51%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -6.74%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 13:29
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.25%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 21:01
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.40%EV -5.42%E -2.72%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.25%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 06:15
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.25%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 21:04
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.89%E -2.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.25%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 06:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.25%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.70%E -5.10%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.25%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 20:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.62%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 21:05
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.62%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.62%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 20:50
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.62%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 20:35
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.62%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 20:35
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.62%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.62%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 20:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -9.22%E -4.83%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.62%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 21:15
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -9.70%E -5.10%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.50%EV -12.55%E -6.82%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 21:10
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 21:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 21:04
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 20:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.22%E -4.83%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 17:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.22%E -4.83%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.59%EV -10.17%E -5.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.74%EV -9.90%E -3.16%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 21:04
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.32%E -3.75%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -8.75%E -4.56%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 06:10
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.22%E -4.83%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 21:05
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 21:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 21:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -4.94%E -2.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.60%E -6.24%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 06:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.35%0.2%2026-07-25 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.7%2026-07-25 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.7%2026-07-25 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.7%2026-07-25 21:05
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-07-25 21:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-25 20:25