默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense

2026-08-30 14:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Paranaense (主队)

预测 41.12%2.43公平赔率
EV -3.37%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -2.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
40.28%41.11%41.15%42.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.032.222.252.3549.26%45.14%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fluminense (客队)

预测 28.89%3.46公平赔率
EV -3.78%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -1.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.33

博彩公司预测分布
27.94%28.81%28.88%29.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.173.203.3334.48%31.55%31.25%30.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.99%3.33公平赔率
EV -4.04%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.01%30.08%29.97%31.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.023.003.2034.48%33.06%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Atletico Paranaense (主队):41.12%;Fluminense (客队):28.89%;平局:29.99%。 对于“Atletico Paranaense (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.43。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.35,期望值为-3.37%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -3.37%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 18:04
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.37%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 18:04
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.15%EV -4.20%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.79%EV -3.78%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.06%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 19:40
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:04
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -6.66%E -2.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.38%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 19:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 18:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 19:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:03
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-17 18:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-17 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -15.71%E -7.66%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-17 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.05%EV -15.71%E -7.66%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -11.53%E -3.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-17 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 42.39%EV -16.53%E -8.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 27.94%EV -11.01%E -3.57%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -13.03%E -4.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-17 18:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.79%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.54%8.1%2026-08-17 20:05

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