默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Paranaense (主队)

预测 40.10%2.49公平赔率
EV +0.651%
优势 +0.259%
Kelly +0.431%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.51

博彩公司预测分布
38.59%40.15%40.16%43.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.082.292.302.5148.08%43.69%43.48%39.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fluminense (客队)

预测 29.00%3.45公平赔率
EV +2.96%
优势 +0.834%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.034%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
27.02%28.98%28.96%30.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.233.203.5533.33%30.96%31.25%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.90%3.24公平赔率
EV -1.13%
优势 -0.353%
Kelly -0.513%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.73%30.87%30.88%31.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.023.023.2034.72%33.15%33.06%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atletico Paranaense (主队):40.10%;Fluminense (客队):29.00%;平局:30.90%。 对于“Fluminense (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.45。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.55,对应+2.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -10.58%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV +2.96%E +0.834%K +1.16%G +0.034%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -1.13%E -0.353%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -10.58%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV +2.96%E +0.834%K +1.16%G +0.034%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -1.13%E -0.353%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.62%EV -2.16%E -0.884%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -2.26%E -0.671%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.75%E -0.716%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.84%E -0.848%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.75%E -0.716%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.84%E -0.848%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 13:25
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.75%E -0.716%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.84%E -0.848%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 13:30
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.75%E -0.716%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.84%E -0.848%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 13:25
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:44
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:04
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:35
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -8.57%E -3.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.85%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -14.19%E -6.63%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -14.99%E -7.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -14.99%E -7.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:10
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.17%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.61%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.62%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 13:08
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:44
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -9.78%E -3.35%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -9.78%E -3.35%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 13:39
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 13:55
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.40%E -3.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -16.59%E -7.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -8.85%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -16.59%E -7.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -8.85%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 13:10
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV +0.651%E +0.259%K +0.431%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%EV -8.64%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -2.37%E -0.748%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.64%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:49
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 13:20
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 13:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.59%EV -10.98%E -4.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.34%EV -8.24%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -11.54%E -3.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 13:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.40%E -3.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 13:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-08-30 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-30 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-30 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-30 13:45
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%1.8%2026-08-30 13:35
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.0%2026-08-30 13:20