Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense

Początek: 2026-08-30 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Atletico Paranaense (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 40.10%2.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.651%
Przewaga +0.259%
Kelly +0.431%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.59%40.15%40.16%43.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.082.292.302.5148.08%43.69%43.48%39.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fluminense (Goście)

Prognoza 29.00%3.45kurs godziwy
EV +2.96%
Przewaga +0.834%
Kelly +1.16%
Wzrost +0.034%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.02%28.98%28.96%30.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.233.203.5533.33%30.96%31.25%28.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.90%3.24kurs godziwy
EV -1.13%
Przewaga -0.353%
Kelly -0.513%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.73%30.87%30.88%31.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.023.023.2034.72%33.15%33.06%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Atletico Paranaense (Gospodarze): 40.10%; Fluminense (Goście): 29.00%; Remis: 30.90%. Dla wyniku Fluminense (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.45. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.55, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.96%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -10.58%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV +2.96%E +0.834%K +1.16%G +0.034%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -1.13%E -0.353%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -10.58%E -4.74%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV +2.96%E +0.834%K +1.16%G +0.034%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -1.13%E -0.353%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -12.58%E -5.77%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.39%E -0.409%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:10
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.62%EV -2.16%E -0.884%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -2.26%E -0.671%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.75%E -0.716%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.84%E -0.848%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.75%E -0.716%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.84%E -0.848%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 13:25
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.75%E -0.716%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.84%E -0.848%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 13:30
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -1.75%E -0.716%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.84%E -0.848%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 13:25
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:44
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:04
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:35
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -8.57%E -3.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.85%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -14.19%E -6.63%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -14.99%E -7.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -14.99%E -7.07%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:10
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.17%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.61%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.62%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 13:08
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:44
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -9.78%E -3.35%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -9.78%E -3.35%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 13:39
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 13:55
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.40%E -3.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -16.59%E -7.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -8.85%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.46%EV -16.59%E -7.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -8.85%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 13:10
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV +0.651%E +0.259%K +0.431%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%EV -8.64%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -2.37%E -0.748%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.64%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:49
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.56%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.22%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 13:20
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 13:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -7.77%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.59%EV -10.98%E -4.94%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.34%EV -8.24%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -11.54%E -3.78%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -5.76%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 13:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.31%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.02%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.78%E -5.35%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.40%E -3.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 13:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-08-30 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-30 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-30 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-30 13:45
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%1.8%2026-08-30 13:35
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.0%2026-08-30 13:20