默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Paranaense v Bragantino-SP

2026-08-15 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Paranaense (主队)

预测 45.17%2.21公平赔率
EV -4.68%
优势 -2.22%
Kelly -4.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.11

博彩公司预测分布
44.26%45.19%45.07%46.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.872.032.052.1153.48%49.37%48.78%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bragantino-SP (客队)

预测 26.42%3.78公平赔率
EV -0.921%
优势 -0.246%
Kelly -0.335%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.35%26.36%26.49%27.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.69%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.40%3.52公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.85%28.46%28.44%29.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.243.4033.33%31.18%30.91%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Atletico Paranaense (主队):45.17%;Bragantino-SP (客队):26.42%;平局:28.40%。 对于“Bragantino-SP (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.78。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.75,期望值为-0.921%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.45%EV -4.68%E -2.22%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -0.921%E -0.246%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 14:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 12:54
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 12:55
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 13:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.04%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.85%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.04%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.85%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.85%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 12:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -3.56%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -8.54%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:15
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 12:54
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 13:54
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 13:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 13:55
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.10%EV -9.20%E -4.58%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -3.56%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 12:55
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -11.91%E -6.11%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.45%E -4.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 12:54
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.49%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 14:55
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -13.72%E -7.18%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-02 14:54
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.74%EV -15.07%E -8.02%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -13.37%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -15.52%E -8.30%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.55%EV -14.22%E -4.71%K -7.04%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 14:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 45.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.92%16.0%2026-08-02 14:55