Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Paranaense v Bahia

Inizio: 2026-09-20 22:30 UTC

Finale: Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Bahia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Paranaense (Casa)

Previsione 40.03%2.50quota equa
EV +0.079%
Vantaggio +0.031%
Kelly +0.052%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.39%40.10%40.00%41.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.302.302.5046.51%43.50%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Bahia (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.45%3.18quota equa
EV +2.21%
Vantaggio +0.679%
Kelly +0.981%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.74%31.34%31.46%32.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.002.973.2536.36%33.34%33.67%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.52%3.51quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -0.892%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.33%28.56%28.54%30.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.293.4033.33%30.74%30.40%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atletico Paranaense (Casa): 40.03%; Bahia (Trasferta): 31.45%; Pareggio: 28.52%. Per Bahia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.18. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.21%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV +2.21%E +0.679%K +0.981%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV +2.21%E +0.679%K +0.981%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:19
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV +2.21%E +0.679%K +0.981%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:24
BetAnything🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV +2.21%E +0.679%K +0.981%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +0.635%E +0.199%K +0.289%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +0.635%E +0.199%K +0.289%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.12%E -1.29%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.42%EV -1.57%E -0.500%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -2.72%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -2.19%E -0.706%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.06%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 21:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 21:39
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:15
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:15
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.73%EV -2.82%E -0.914%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -6.17%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 21:54
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 21:49
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.33%EV -6.60%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 22:19
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.39%EV +0.079%E +0.031%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.08%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 22:19
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -3.92%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 21:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.83%EV -5.13%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 21:49
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 22:03
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 22:04
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.00%EV -7.13%E -3.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 22:24
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -7.13%E -3.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 21:19
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 22:14
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 22:24
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 22:20
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 22:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 22:09
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 22:09
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.43%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 22:19
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.43%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 22:18
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.43%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -13.93%E -6.48%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.94%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 21:48
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.28%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.58%EV -12.57%E -4.52%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.14%EV -11.02%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 22:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -13.52%E -4.92%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 21:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-09-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-09-20 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-09-20 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-09-20 22:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-09-20 22:25
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%1.3%2026-09-20 22:25