StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atletico Paranaense v Bahia

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-20 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Bahia

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atletico Paranaense (Heim)

Prognose 40.03%2.50faire Quote
EV +0.079%
Vorteil +0.031%
Kelly +0.052%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.39%40.10%40.00%41.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.302.302.5046.51%43.50%43.48%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bahia (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.45%3.18faire Quote
EV +2.21%
Vorteil +0.679%
Kelly +0.981%
Wachstum +0.022%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.74%31.34%31.46%32.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.753.002.973.2536.36%33.34%33.67%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.52%3.51faire Quote
EV -3.03%
Vorteil -0.892%
Kelly -1.26%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.33%28.56%28.54%30.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.253.293.4033.33%30.74%30.40%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Atletico Paranaense (Heim): 40.03%; Bahia (Auswärts): 31.45%; Unentschieden: 28.52%. Für Bahia (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.18. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.21%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV +2.21%E +0.679%K +0.981%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV +2.21%E +0.679%K +0.981%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:19
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV +2.21%E +0.679%K +0.981%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:24
BetAnything🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -7.53%E -3.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV +2.21%E +0.679%K +0.981%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +0.635%E +0.199%K +0.289%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.75%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV +0.635%E +0.199%K +0.289%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.12%E -1.29%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.42%EV -1.57%E -0.500%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -2.72%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -2.19%E -0.706%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.06%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 21:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 21:39
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:15
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:15
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.51%E -0.809%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.73%EV -2.82%E -0.914%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -6.17%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 21:54
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 21:49
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.33%EV -6.60%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 22:19
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.39%EV +0.079%E +0.031%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.08%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 22:19
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -3.92%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 21:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.83%EV -5.13%E -2.16%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 21:49
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 22:03
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 22:04
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.00%EV -7.13%E -3.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 22:24
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -7.13%E -3.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -7.23%E -2.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 21:19
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 22:14
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 22:24
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 22:20
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 22:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 22:09
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.80%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 22:09
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.43%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 22:19
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.43%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.03%E -0.892%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 22:18
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.43%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -13.93%E -6.48%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.94%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 21:48
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.28%EV -12.73%E -5.84%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.58%EV -12.57%E -4.52%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.14%EV -11.02%E -3.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 22:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -13.52%E -4.92%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 21:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-09-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-09-20 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-09-20 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-09-20 22:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-09-20 22:25
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%1.3%2026-09-20 22:25