Language:English
Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 40.15%2.49fair odd
EV -0.037%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.025%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%40.24%40.12%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.302.302.4950.00%43.49%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sao Paulo (Visit)
Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd
EV -0.525%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.213%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.36%28.71%28.64%29.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.4734.72%30.85%30.77%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV -0.202%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.092%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.22%31.04%31.24%31.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.972.983.2037.04%33.66%33.56%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Mineiro (Local): 40.15%; Sao Paulo (Visit): 28.67%; Draw: 31.19%. For Atletico Mineiro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.491. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.490, with an expected value of -0.037%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.037%E -0.015%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.32%EV -5.11%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.71%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.20%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -5.97%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.82%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -0.525%E -0.151%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -3.63%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -5.26%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 07:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -7.26%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -4.83%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -7.69%E -2.60%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 22:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.47%E -3.71%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -0.202%E -0.063%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.70%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-18 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -15.43%E -5.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.66%EV -13.28%E -6.15%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.52%EV -11.71%E -3.80%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -15.69%E -7.47%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -17.44%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-18 22:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.73%EV -19.71%E -9.85%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.36%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.91%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.04% | 2.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 22:40 |