L’École des cotes

Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 40.15%2.49cote équitable
EV -0.037%
Avantage -0.015%
Kelly -0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.97%40.24%40.12%41.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.302.302.4950.00%43.49%43.48%40.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sao Paulo (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.67%3.49cote équitable
EV -0.525%
Avantage -0.151%
Kelly -0.213%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.36%28.71%28.64%29.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.253.4734.72%30.85%30.77%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.19%3.21cote équitable
EV -0.202%
Avantage -0.063%
Kelly -0.092%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.22%31.04%31.24%31.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.972.983.2037.04%33.66%33.56%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.037%E -0.015%K -0.025%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.32%EV -5.11%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.71%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-18 22:50
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 22:20
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 22:20
Coolbet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.20%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -5.97%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 09:00
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:05
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.82%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -0.525%E -0.151%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -3.63%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 22:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 22:30
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 22:40
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -5.26%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 07:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 22:30
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 22:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 22:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 22:50
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:55
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:55
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 22:54
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 22:35
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 22:20
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -7.26%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -4.83%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -7.69%E -2.60%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:50
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 22:29
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 22:30
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 22:30
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 22:35
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 22:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 22:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 22:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 22:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 22:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 22:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.47%E -3.71%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 22:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -0.202%E -0.063%K -0.092%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 22:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:55
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 22:55
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 22:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 22:29
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.70%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 22:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-18 22:55
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-18 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -15.43%E -5.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-18 22:35
Unibet (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.66%EV -13.28%E -6.15%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.52%EV -11.71%E -3.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 22:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-18 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -15.69%E -7.47%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -17.44%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-18 22:41
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.73%EV -19.71%E -9.85%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.36%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.91%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-18 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-18 22:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-18 22:55
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.04%2.3%2026-03-18 22:55
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-03-18 22:40