La scuola delle quote

Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo

Inizio: 2026-03-18 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 40.15%2.49quota equa
EV -0.037%
Vantaggio -0.015%
Kelly -0.025%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.97%40.24%40.12%41.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.302.302.4950.00%43.49%43.48%40.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sao Paulo (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.67%3.49quota equa
EV -0.525%
Vantaggio -0.151%
Kelly -0.213%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.36%28.71%28.64%29.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.243.253.4734.72%30.85%30.77%28.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.19%3.21quota equa
EV -0.202%
Vantaggio -0.063%
Kelly -0.092%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.22%31.04%31.24%31.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.972.983.2037.04%33.66%33.56%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.037%E -0.015%K -0.025%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.32%EV -5.11%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.71%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-18 22:50
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 22:20
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 22:20
Coolbet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.20%EV -2.45%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -5.97%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 09:00
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 21:05
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.82%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -0.525%E -0.151%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.31%EV -3.63%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 22:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 22:30
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 22:40
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -5.26%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 07:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 22:30
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 22:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 22:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 22:50
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:55
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -1.96%E -0.573%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.38%EV -5.50%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:55
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 22:54
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 22:35
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.06%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.78%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 22:20
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -7.26%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -4.83%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -7.69%E -2.60%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:50
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 22:29
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 22:30
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 22:30
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 22:35
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 22:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 22:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 22:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 22:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 22:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 22:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.47%E -3.71%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 22:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -0.202%E -0.063%K -0.092%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 22:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:55
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 22:55
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 22:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 22:29
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 22:20
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.70%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.05%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 22:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-18 22:55
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-18 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -15.43%E -5.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-18 22:35
Unibet (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.66%EV -13.28%E -6.15%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.52%EV -11.71%E -3.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 22:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-18 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -15.69%E -7.47%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -17.44%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-18 22:41
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.73%EV -19.71%E -9.85%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.36%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.91%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-18 22:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-18 22:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-18 22:55
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.04%2.3%2026-03-18 22:55
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-03-18 22:40