La scuola delle quote

Atletico Mineiro v Flamengo

Inizio: 2026-04-26 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 25.16%3.97quota equa
EV +0.647%
Vantaggio +0.162%
Kelly +0.216%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.03%25.17%25.26%26.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.713.704.0030.77%26.97%27.03%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flamengo (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.62%2.14quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.40%46.59%46.57%47.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.992.002.0953.76%50.27%50.00%47.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.21%3.54quota equa
EV -4.07%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.44%28.24%28.17%29.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.273.303.4032.79%30.57%30.30%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV +0.647%E +0.162%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV +0.647%E +0.162%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:34
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
1xBet3.89I 25.71%NM 24.70%EV -2.12%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 15:34
GTbets3.89I 25.71%NM 24.60%EV -2.12%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.78%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.62%EV -8.87%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 15:29
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -3.13%E -0.812%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 01:35
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.17%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 00:50
LowVig.ag3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
BetOnline.ag3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 07:05
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 06:43
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -9.55%E -4.92%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 01:35
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 23:54
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.02%E -5.19%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 01:34
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -7.22%E -3.63%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.46%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:29
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:30
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 00:46
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 02:20
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 01:35
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 01:35
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 09:54
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 16:34
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 23:34
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:34
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 00:45
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.24%EV -11.41%E -6.01%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 01:34
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.24%EV -11.41%E -6.01%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 01:35
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 05:45
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 09:55
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 23:55
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 23:44
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 23:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:35
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:50
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 23:35
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:43
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 23:00
Betclic (FR)3.48I 28.74%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.45%EV -11.88%E -6.29%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 18:58
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -11.88%E -6.29%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.45%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 19:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.45%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 23:33
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -18.22%E -5.61%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.83%EV -13.28%E -7.14%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.95%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-21 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:55
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%6.5%2026-04-24 01:30
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%9.3%2026-04-23 23:54