La escuela de los momios

Atletico Mineiro v Flamengo

Inicio: 2026-04-26 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Predicción 25.16%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.647%
Ventaja +0.162%
Kelly +0.216%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.03%25.17%25.26%26.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.713.704.0030.77%26.97%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Flamengo (Visitante)

Predicción 46.62%2.14momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.40%46.59%46.57%47.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.992.002.0953.76%50.27%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.21%3.54momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.24%28.17%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.303.4032.79%30.57%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV +0.647%E +0.162%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV +0.647%E +0.162%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:34
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
1xBet3.89I 25.71%NM 24.70%EV -2.12%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 15:34
GTbets3.89I 25.71%NM 24.60%EV -2.12%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.78%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.62%EV -8.87%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 15:29
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -3.13%E -0.812%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 01:35
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.17%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 00:50
LowVig.ag3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
BetOnline.ag3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 07:05
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 06:43
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -9.55%E -4.92%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 01:35
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 23:54
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.02%E -5.19%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 01:34
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -7.22%E -3.63%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.46%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:29
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:30
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 00:46
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 02:20
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 01:35
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 01:35
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 09:54
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 16:34
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 23:34
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:34
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 00:45
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.24%EV -11.41%E -6.01%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 01:34
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.24%EV -11.41%E -6.01%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 01:35
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 05:45
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 09:55
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 23:55
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 23:44
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 23:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:35
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:50
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 23:35
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:43
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 23:00
Betclic (FR)3.48I 28.74%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.45%EV -11.88%E -6.29%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 18:58
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -11.88%E -6.29%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.45%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 19:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.45%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 23:33
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -18.22%E -5.61%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.83%EV -13.28%E -7.14%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.95%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-21 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:55
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%6.5%2026-04-24 01:30
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%9.3%2026-04-23 23:54