L’École des cotes

Atletico Mineiro v Flamengo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 25.16%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.647%
Avantage +0.162%
Kelly +0.216%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.03%25.17%25.26%26.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.713.704.0030.77%26.97%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Flamengo (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.62%2.14cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.40%46.59%46.57%47.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.992.002.0953.76%50.27%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.21%3.54cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.24%28.17%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.273.303.4032.79%30.57%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV +0.647%E +0.162%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV +0.647%E +0.162%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:34
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.87%E -0.479%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 01:35
1xBet3.89I 25.71%NM 24.70%EV -2.12%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.43%EV -4.64%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 15:34
GTbets3.89I 25.71%NM 24.60%EV -2.12%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.78%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.62%EV -8.87%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 15:29
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -3.13%E -0.812%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 01:35
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.17%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 00:50
LowVig.ag3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
BetOnline.ag3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -3.38%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 07:05
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 06:43
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -9.55%E -4.92%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 01:35
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 23:54
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -10.02%E -5.19%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 01:34
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -7.22%E -3.63%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.46%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:29
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:30
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 00:46
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 02:20
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 01:35
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 01:35
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 09:54
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 16:34
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:30
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 23:34
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:34
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 00:45
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 00:45
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.24%EV -11.41%E -6.01%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 01:34
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.24%EV -11.41%E -6.01%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 01:35
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 05:45
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 09:55
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 23:55
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 23:44
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 23:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.68%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 23:35
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:50
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 00:45
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 23:35
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:43
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 23:00
Betclic (FR)3.48I 28.74%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.45%EV -11.88%E -6.29%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 18:58
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -11.88%E -6.29%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.45%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 19:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.45%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.08%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 23:33
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -18.22%E -5.61%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.83%EV -13.28%E -7.14%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.95%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-21 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%3.7%2026-04-23 23:55
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%6.5%2026-04-24 01:30
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%9.3%2026-04-23 23:54