Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.98
assuming max odds 4.03
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Westerlo (Local): 48.84%; Leuven (Visit): 26.37%; Draw: 24.78%. For Leuven (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.29%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.56%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.09%EV +6.29%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.131% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV +2.86%E +0.734%K +0.987%G +0.028% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV +2.86%E +0.734%K +0.987%G +0.028% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -0.566%E -0.150%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -6.32%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -2.41%E -0.652%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.44%EV -3.20%E -0.873%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -11.60%E -6.41%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -12.57%E -7.02%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -12.57%E -7.02%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.81%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -10.13%E -5.51%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 09:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.61%EV -9.80%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.73%EV -8.80%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.74%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.64%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 10:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.08%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.64%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.15%E -4.92%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.84%EV -15.50%E -8.96%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.46%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.70%EV -23.17%E -7.48%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 51.04% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.48% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.48% | -2.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |