La escuela de los momios

Westerlo v Leuven

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Westerlo 3–3 Leuven

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Predicción 48.84%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.58%48.84%48.80%50.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.891.901.9857.80%53.02%52.63%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leuven (Visitante)

Predicción 26.37%3.79momio equitativo
EV +6.29%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +2.08%
Crecimiento +0.131%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.09%26.33%26.46%27.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.603.604.0330.77%27.81%27.78%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.78%4.04momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.858%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.00%24.84%24.74%26.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.703.753.9032.26%27.00%26.67%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.56%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.09%EV +6.29%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.131%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 13:54
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV +2.86%E +0.734%K +0.987%G +0.028%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV +2.86%E +0.734%K +0.987%G +0.028%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -0.566%E -0.150%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -6.32%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:51
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -2.41%E -0.652%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Suprabets1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.44%EV -3.20%E -0.873%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:53
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:54
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:50
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -11.60%E -6.41%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:15
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:49
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -12.57%E -7.02%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -12.57%E -7.02%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.81%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:34
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:25
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:00
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:19
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:54
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -10.13%E -5.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 09:56
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 12:25
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 13:35
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.61%EV -9.80%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.73%EV -8.80%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:35
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:50
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.74%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.64%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:01
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.08%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.64%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.15%E -4.92%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.84%EV -15.50%E -8.96%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.46%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.70%EV -23.17%E -7.48%K -11.03%G +0.000%20.8%2026-05-02 13:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.48%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.48%-2.0%2026-05-02 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-05-02 13:54
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55