L’École des cotes

Westerlo v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Westerlo 3–3 Leuven

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Prévision 48.84%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.58%48.84%48.80%50.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.891.901.9857.80%53.02%52.63%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.37%3.79cote équitable
EV +6.29%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +2.08%
Croissance +0.131%

avec la cote maximale 4.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.09%26.33%26.46%27.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.603.604.0330.77%27.81%27.78%24.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.78%4.04cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -0.858%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%24.84%24.74%26.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.703.753.9032.26%27.00%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.56%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.09%EV +6.29%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.131%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 13:54
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV +2.86%E +0.734%K +0.987%G +0.028%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV +2.86%E +0.734%K +0.987%G +0.028%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV +0.225%E +0.059%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.63%EV -0.566%E -0.150%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -6.32%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:51
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.09%E -0.292%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -2.41%E -0.652%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Suprabets1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.44%EV -3.20%E -0.873%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:53
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:54
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:50
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -11.60%E -6.41%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:15
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:49
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -12.57%E -7.02%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -12.57%E -7.02%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.81%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:34
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:25
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.35%E -0.858%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:00
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:19
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:54
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -10.13%E -5.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 09:56
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 12:25
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.62%E -5.80%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 13:35
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.61%EV -9.80%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.73%EV -8.80%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:35
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:50
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.74%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.64%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:01
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.08%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -11.64%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.15%E -4.92%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.84%EV -15.50%E -8.96%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.46%EV -14.28%E -4.39%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.70%EV -23.17%E -7.48%K -11.03%G +0.000%20.8%2026-05-02 13:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.48%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.48%-2.0%2026-05-02 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-05-02 13:54
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55