Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Westerlo v Charleroi

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Westerlo (Local)

Prediction 34.66%2.89fair odd
EV -0.874%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.470%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%34.80%34.62%36.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.8640.00%37.37%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charleroi (Visit)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV +5.01%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.86%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%38.03%38.16%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.482.452.7545.45%40.25%40.82%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV +0.473%
Edge +0.128%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.18%27.22%30.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.403.7034.72%30.04%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Westerlo (Local): 34.66%; Charleroi (Visit): 38.19%; Draw: 27.15%. For Charleroi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.95%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV +5.01%E +1.82%K +2.86%G +0.144%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.95%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV +5.01%E +1.82%K +2.86%G +0.144%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:19
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:19
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:15
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.717%E -0.276%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -2.26%E -0.802%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.42%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.01%EV -0.874%E -0.306%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.01%EV -0.874%E -0.306%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:15
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.23%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -4.15%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +0.473%E +0.128%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:05
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 16:04
Suprabets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -5.73%E -2.11%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -5.68%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -5.03%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.06%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.85%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -3.65%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:10
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -3.65%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:09
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:09
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:24
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:04
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:04
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:25
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:19
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.03%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.95%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.02%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:23
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:05
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.12%E -3.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 16:05
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 16:25
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -15.99%E -7.27%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -21.79%E -7.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-05 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-05 16:15
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-05 16:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.67%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%2.4%2026-04-05 16:25