La escuela de los momios

Westerlo v Charleroi

Inicio: 2026-04-05 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Predicción 34.66%2.89momio equitativo
EV -0.874%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.470%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.28%34.80%34.62%36.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.8640.00%37.37%37.04%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charleroi (Visitante)

Predicción 38.19%2.62momio equitativo
EV +5.01%
Ventaja +1.82%
Kelly +2.86%
Crecimiento +0.144%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.08%38.03%38.16%39.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.482.452.7545.45%40.25%40.82%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV +0.473%
Ventaja +0.128%
Kelly +0.175%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%27.18%27.22%30.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.403.7034.72%30.04%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.95%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV +5.01%E +1.82%K +2.86%G +0.144%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:20
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.95%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV +5.01%E +1.82%K +2.86%G +0.144%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:19
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:19
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:20
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:15
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.717%E -0.276%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 16:20
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 16:19
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -2.26%E -0.802%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.42%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 16:25
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 34.01%EV -0.874%E -0.306%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 34.01%EV -0.874%E -0.306%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:15
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.23%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -4.15%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +0.473%E +0.128%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:05
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 16:04
Suprabets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -5.73%E -2.11%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -5.68%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:16
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -5.03%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.06%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.85%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:25
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:15
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -3.65%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:10
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -3.65%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:09
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:09
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:24
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:05
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:04
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:04
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:25
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:19
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.03%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.95%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.02%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:23
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:05
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.12%E -3.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 16:05
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 16:04
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 16:05
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 16:05
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 16:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -15.99%E -7.27%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -21.79%E -7.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-05 16:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-05 16:15
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-05 16:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.67%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%2.4%2026-04-05 16:25