L’École des cotes

Westerlo v Charleroi

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Prévision 34.66%2.89cote équitable
EV -0.874%
Avantage -0.306%
Kelly -0.470%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.28%34.80%34.62%36.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.702.8640.00%37.37%37.04%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Charleroi (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.19%2.62cote équitable
EV +5.01%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +2.86%
Croissance +0.144%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.08%38.03%38.16%39.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.482.452.7545.45%40.25%40.82%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV +0.473%
Avantage +0.128%
Kelly +0.175%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%27.18%27.22%30.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.333.403.7034.72%30.04%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.95%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV +5.01%E +1.82%K +2.86%G +0.144%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:20
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.95%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV +5.01%E +1.82%K +2.86%G +0.144%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:19
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:19
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 16:20
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +1.19%E +0.450%K +0.723%G +0.009%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:15
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.60%EV +0.429%E +0.163%K +0.263%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -0.717%E -0.276%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 16:20
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 16:19
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -2.63%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:20
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -2.26%E -0.802%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.42%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 16:25
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 34.01%EV -0.874%E -0.306%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 34.01%EV -0.874%E -0.306%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.60%EV -3.77%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 16:15
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.23%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -4.15%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +0.473%E +0.128%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:05
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -4.54%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 16:04
Suprabets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -5.73%E -2.11%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -5.68%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:16
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -5.03%E -1.84%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.06%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.85%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:25
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:15
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -3.65%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:10
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -3.65%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:09
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:09
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.69%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:24
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:20
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:05
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:04
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:04
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.42%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:25
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:19
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.03%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.95%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.02%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:23
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.15%E -3.08%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.19%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.10%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:05
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -8.85%E -3.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.12%E -3.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 16:05
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 16:04
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.26%E -4.37%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 16:05
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.89%E -3.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 16:05
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 16:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -11.62%E -4.56%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -13.35%E -5.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -15.99%E -7.27%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -21.79%E -7.57%K -11.59%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-05 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-05 16:15
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-05 16:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-05 16:05
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.67%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%2.4%2026-04-05 16:25