A Escola das Odds

Union Saint-Gilloise v Dender

Início: 2026-03-14 17:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Previsão 73.06%1.37odd justa
EV -4.30%
Vantagem -3.28%
Kelly -13.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.77%73.04%72.96%76.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.271.281.3185.47%78.87%78.13%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dender (Visitante)

Previsão 9.07%11.03odd justa
EV +8.78%
Vantagem +0.732%
Kelly +0.798%
Crescimento +0.070%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.79%9.12%9.11%11.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.7510.3410.5012.0012.90%9.67%9.52%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.88%5.59odd justa
EV +7.27%
Vantagem +1.21%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.106%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.58%17.84%17.93%19.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.235.256.0022.22%19.11%19.05%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +8.78%E +0.732%K +0.798%G +0.070%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +7.27%E +1.21%K +1.45%G +0.106%7.0%2026-03-14 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +2.80%E +0.487%K +0.589%G +0.016%4.0%2026-03-14 16:45
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +2.80%E +0.487%K +0.589%G +0.016%4.0%2026-03-14 16:45
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.117%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 16:50
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.117%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 16:50
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.65%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%11.99I 8.34%NM 8.03%EV +8.69%E +0.725%K +0.791%G +0.069%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.32%EV -0.598%E -0.108%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 17:00
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.79%EV -11.62%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 16:55
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 16:55
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 17:10
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 17:10
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 17:10
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.42%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:50
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.86%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.72%EV -2.39%E -0.437%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.19%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -18.41%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:50
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 17:09
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 17:10
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 17:10
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.47%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:10
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.47%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.10%EV -7.08%E -0.691%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.96%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -5.25%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -22.95%E -2.70%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -5.25%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 13:05
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 13:05
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 17:08
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:40
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:09
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:10
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:10
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.03%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.03%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 17:05
Suprabets1.27I 78.74%NM 73.29%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -8.82%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:50
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 16:40
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.71%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:40
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:40
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 16:50
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -13.79%E -11.69%K -76.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 17:00
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -13.79%E -11.69%K -76.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.77%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.32%EV -29.75%E -3.84%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.40%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 13:05
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.32%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -13.29%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -20.68%E -2.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -13.29%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 16:45
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:50
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.72%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.06%EV -21.13%E -2.43%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-14 16:50
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.87%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.48%EV -16.15%E -1.75%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -15.97%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 72.62%EV -14.52%E -12.41%K -85.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.50%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.88%EV -19.55%E -4.34%K -5.59%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-14 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%0.9%2026-03-14 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-03-14 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-03-14 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-03-14 17:10
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-03-14 17:10
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.44%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%2.2%2026-03-14 17:05