La escuela de los momiosUnion Saint-Gilloise v Dender
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)
Predicción 73.06%1.37momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -3.28%
Kelly -13.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.77%73.04%72.96%76.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.271.281.3185.47%78.87%78.13%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dender (Visitante)
Predicción 9.07%11.03momio equitativo
EV +8.78%
Ventaja +0.732%
Kelly +0.798%
Crecimiento +0.070%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.79%9.12%9.11%11.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.7510.3410.5012.0012.90%9.67%9.52%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.88%5.59momio equitativo
EV +7.27%
Ventaja +1.21%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.58%17.84%17.93%19.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.235.256.0022.22%19.11%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +8.78%E +0.732%K +0.798%G +0.070% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +7.27%E +1.21%K +1.45%G +0.106% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +2.80%E +0.487%K +0.589%G +0.016% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +2.80%E +0.487%K +0.589%G +0.016% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.117%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.117%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.65%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.99I 8.34%NM 8.03%EV +8.69%E +0.725%K +0.791%G +0.069% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.32%EV -0.598%E -0.108%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.79%EV -11.62%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.42%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.86%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.72%EV -2.39%E -0.437%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.19%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -18.41%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.47%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.47%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.10%EV -7.08%E -0.691%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.96%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -5.25%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -22.95%E -2.70%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -5.25%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 17:08 |
| theScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.03%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.03%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Suprabets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.29%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -8.82%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.71%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -13.79%E -11.69%K -76.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -13.79%E -11.69%K -76.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.77%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.32%EV -29.75%E -3.84%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.40%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.32%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -13.29%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -20.68%E -2.36%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -13.29%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.72%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.06%EV -21.13%E -2.43%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.17%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.87%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.48%EV -16.15%E -1.75%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -15.97%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.62%EV -14.52%E -12.41%K -85.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.50%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.88%EV -19.55%E -4.34%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.44% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |