L’École des cotesUnion Saint-Gilloise v Dender
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)
Prévision 73.06%1.37cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -3.28%
Kelly -13.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.77%73.04%72.96%76.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.271.281.3185.47%78.87%78.13%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Dender (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.07%11.03cote équitable
EV +8.78%
Avantage +0.732%
Kelly +0.798%
Croissance +0.070%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.79%9.12%9.11%11.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.7510.3410.5012.0012.90%9.67%9.52%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.88%5.59cote équitable
EV +7.27%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.106%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.58%17.84%17.93%19.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.235.256.0022.22%19.11%19.05%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +8.78%E +0.732%K +0.798%G +0.070% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +7.27%E +1.21%K +1.45%G +0.106% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +2.80%E +0.487%K +0.589%G +0.016% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +2.80%E +0.487%K +0.589%G +0.016% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.117%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.49%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.36%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.117%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.65%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.99I 8.34%NM 8.03%EV +8.69%E +0.725%K +0.791%G +0.069% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.32%EV -0.598%E -0.108%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.79%EV -11.62%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.42%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.67%E -0.304%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.86%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +4.25%E +0.369%K +0.405%G +0.017% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.72%EV -2.39%E -0.437%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.19%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -18.41%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.34%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -3.46%E -0.640%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.47%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.47%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.10%EV -7.08%E -0.691%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -4.35%E -0.813%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.96%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -5.25%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -22.95%E -2.70%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -5.25%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.37%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 17:08 |
| theScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.14%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.62%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.03%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.03%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -7.03%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Suprabets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.29%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -8.82%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.71%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -6.49%E -5.07%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -0.284%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -13.88%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -13.79%E -11.69%K -76.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -13.79%E -11.69%K -76.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -10.61%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.77%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.32%EV -29.75%E -3.84%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.40%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.32%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -13.29%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.40%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.20%EV -20.68%E -2.36%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -13.29%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.72%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.06%EV -21.13%E -2.43%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -5.76%E -4.46%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.17%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.87%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.48%EV -16.15%E -1.75%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -15.97%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.62%EV -14.52%E -12.41%K -85.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.50%EV -9.35%E -0.935%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.88%EV -19.55%E -4.34%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.05% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.44% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |