Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.23
assuming max odds 3.46
assuming max odds 3.46
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union Saint-Gilloise (Local): 43.49%; Club Brugge (Visit): 28.45%; Draw: 28.06%. For Club Brugge (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.46, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.84%E -0.535%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.84%E -0.535%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.89%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -1.56%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -2.91%E -0.840%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -2.13%E -0.619%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.94%EV -2.91%E -0.840%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.54%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -9.64%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 08:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 16:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%EV -6.55%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 16:08 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.94%EV -9.98%E -4.82%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.25%EV -8.39%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.81%EV -8.24%E -2.52%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 16:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.38%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-19 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-19 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.81%E -5.27%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -18.06%E -6.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -21.43%E -7.65%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 16:05 |