L’École des cotes

Union Saint-Gilloise v Club Brugge

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 16:30 UTC

Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 Club Brugge

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Prévision 43.49%2.30cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.52%43.49%43.47%44.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.74%46.51%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Club Brugge (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.45%3.51cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.634%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.40%28.42%28.46%29.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.303.4634.72%30.60%30.30%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.840%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.04%28.10%28.07%29.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.263.303.4635.71%30.65%30.30%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.84%E -0.535%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 16:25
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.84%E -0.535%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 16:25
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.89%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -1.56%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -2.91%E -0.840%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 16:25
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -2.13%E -0.619%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.94%EV -2.91%E -0.840%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 16:15
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 16:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 16:10
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 16:25
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:15
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 16:25
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:25
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:25
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:25
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:25
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.54%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -9.64%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 08:05
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 15:55
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:20
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:25
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:05
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:04
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:15
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 16:25
Suprabets2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%EV -6.55%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:08
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:10
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 16:15
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.94%EV -9.98%E -4.82%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.25%EV -8.39%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.81%EV -8.24%E -2.52%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:01
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.38%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 08:15
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.81%E -5.27%K -7.91%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -18.06%E -6.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -21.43%E -7.65%K -11.90%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-19 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 16:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 16:25
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%1.8%2026-04-19 16:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-04-19 16:05