La escuela de los momios

Union Saint-Gilloise v Club Brugge

Inicio: 2026-04-19 16:30 UTC

Final: Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 Club Brugge

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Predicción 43.49%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.52%43.49%43.47%44.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.74%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Club Brugge (Visitante)

Predicción 28.45%3.51momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.451%
Kelly -0.634%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.40%28.42%28.46%29.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.303.4634.72%30.60%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.840%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%28.10%28.07%29.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.263.303.4635.71%30.65%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.84%E -0.535%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 16:25
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.84%E -0.535%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 16:25
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.89%E -1.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -1.56%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -2.91%E -0.840%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 16:25
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -2.13%E -0.619%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.94%EV -2.91%E -0.840%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 16:15
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 16:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 16:10
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 16:25
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:15
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 16:25
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:25
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:25
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:25
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:25
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.54%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -9.64%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 08:05
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 15:55
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:20
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:25
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:05
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:04
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:15
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 16:25
Suprabets2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%EV -6.55%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:08
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:10
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 16:15
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.94%EV -9.98%E -4.82%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.25%EV -8.39%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.81%EV -8.24%E -2.52%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:01
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.38%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.61%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 08:15
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.81%E -5.27%K -7.91%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -18.06%E -6.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -21.43%E -7.65%K -11.90%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-19 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 16:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-19 16:25
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%1.8%2026-04-19 16:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-04-19 16:05