Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 6.75
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union Saint-Gilloise (Local): 63.62%; Anderlecht (Visit): 15.09%; Draw: 21.29%. For Anderlecht (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.52%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +1.85%E +0.274%K +0.321%G +0.006% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.52%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +1.85%E +0.274%K +0.321%G +0.006% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -7.11%E -4.87%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.38%EV -0.567%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.70%EV -2.48%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 16:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -4.19%E -0.660%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -3.12%E -0.686%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.43%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.33%EV -4.49%E -0.709%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.24%EV -2.70%E -0.590%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -4.94%E -0.785%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -4.94%E -0.785%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 16:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.83%EV -11.57%E -8.32%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.04%EV -10.98%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.92%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.90%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -9.02%E -6.31%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -15.90%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.00%EV -9.02%E -6.31%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.80%EV -14.00%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.93%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -9.66%E -6.80%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -9.66%E -6.80%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.66%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.85%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.72%EV -18.52%E -3.43%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 60.61%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.49%EV -24.56%E -4.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.90%EV -23.35%E -6.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 21.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.56% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.17% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |