La escuela de los momios

Union Saint-Gilloise v Anderlecht

Inicio: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: Union Saint-Gilloise 5–1 Anderlecht

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Predicción 63.62%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -5.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%63.52%63.65%64.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.471.5373.53%68.46%68.03%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Predicción 15.09%6.63momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.274%
Kelly +0.321%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.37%15.15%15.02%16.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.036.006.7520.00%16.58%16.67%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.29%4.70momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.448%
Kelly -0.572%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.34%21.33%22.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.254.304.6027.78%23.53%23.26%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.52%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +1.85%E +0.274%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 16:09
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.52%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +1.85%E +0.274%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -7.11%E -4.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.38%EV -0.567%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.70%EV -2.48%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:09
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Suprabets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:18
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -4.19%E -0.660%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -3.12%E -0.686%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:10
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.43%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.33%EV -4.49%E -0.709%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.24%EV -2.70%E -0.590%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -4.94%E -0.785%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -4.94%E -0.785%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:09
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:08
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 16:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:10
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 16:10
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:18
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-24 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.83%EV -11.57%E -8.32%K -29.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.04%EV -10.98%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:09
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:09
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.92%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.90%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:09
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -9.02%E -6.31%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -15.90%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.00%EV -9.02%E -6.31%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.80%EV -14.00%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.93%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -9.66%E -6.80%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 16:09
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -9.66%E -6.80%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 16:09
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 62.66%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.85%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.72%EV -18.52%E -3.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 60.61%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.49%EV -24.56%E -4.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.90%EV -23.35%E -6.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%21.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.56%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.17%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-05-24 16:10