A Escola das Odds

Union Saint-Gilloise v Anderlecht

Início: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: Union Saint-Gilloise 5–1 Anderlecht

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Previsão 63.62%1.57odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -5.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.61%63.52%63.65%64.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.461.471.5373.53%68.46%68.03%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Previsão 15.09%6.63odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.274%
Kelly +0.321%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.37%15.15%15.02%16.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.036.006.7520.00%16.58%16.67%14.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.29%4.70odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -0.448%
Kelly -0.572%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.51%21.34%21.33%22.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.254.304.6027.78%23.53%23.26%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.52%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +1.85%E +0.274%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 16:09
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.52%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +1.85%E +0.274%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -7.11%E -4.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.38%EV -0.567%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.70%EV -2.48%E -0.542%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:09
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.92%E -0.296%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Suprabets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:18
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 64.26%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.537%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -4.19%E -0.660%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -3.12%E -0.686%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:10
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.43%EV -2.66%E -1.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.33%EV -4.49%E -0.709%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.24%EV -2.70%E -0.590%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -4.94%E -0.785%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -4.94%E -0.785%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -5.70%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:09
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -5.21%E -3.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:08
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 16:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:10
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -5.84%E -3.95%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 16:10
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:18
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -9.47%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-24 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.83%EV -11.57%E -8.32%K -29.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.04%EV -10.98%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:09
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:09
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -12.49%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.92%EV -8.39%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.90%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:09
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -9.02%E -6.31%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -15.90%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.00%EV -9.02%E -6.31%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.80%EV -14.00%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.57%E -3.05%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.93%EV -6.48%E -4.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -9.66%E -6.80%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 16:09
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -9.66%E -6.80%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -15.50%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 16:09
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 62.66%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.85%EV -16.96%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -7.75%E -5.35%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.72%EV -18.52%E -3.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -8.45%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 60.61%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.49%EV -24.56%E -4.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.90%EV -23.35%E -6.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%21.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.56%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.17%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-05-24 16:10