Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem v SK Beveren

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: SV Zulte-Waregem 4–0 SK Beveren

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prediction 46.08%2.17fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.76%46.16%46.08%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.992.002.0952.91%50.34%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SK Beveren (Visit)

Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +0.592%
Kelly +0.811%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%27.60%27.63%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.353.7032.26%29.62%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.30%3.80fair odd
EV +3.11%
Edge +0.794%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.24%26.28%27.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.9230.30%28.48%28.57%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Zulte-Waregem (Local): 46.08%; SK Beveren (Visit): 27.62%; Draw: 26.30%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -5.08%E -2.47%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV -4.44%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.78%EV +3.11%E +0.794%K +1.07%G +0.033%3.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.99%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:49
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -6.46%E -3.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:48
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:49
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.24%EV -3.70%E -1.77%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -0.297%E -0.082%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -5.83%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -8.31%E -4.17%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -8.31%E -4.17%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.573%E -0.159%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:44
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:45
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.77%E -4.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.62%EV -9.69%E -4.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.15%E -5.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Suprabets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.46%E -3.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.92%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:47
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:44
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.18%EV -12.91%E -6.83%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -11.53%E -6.01%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -12.45%E -6.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -12.45%E -6.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-08-22 13:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-08-22 13:45