Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Zulte-Waregem v SK Beveren

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Score final : SV Zulte-Waregem 4–0 SK Beveren

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prévision 46.08%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.76%46.16%46.08%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.891.992.002.0952.91%50.34%50.00%47.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SK Beveren (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV +2.19%
Avantage +0.592%
Kelly +0.811%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%27.60%27.63%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.383.353.7032.26%29.62%29.85%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.30%3.80cote équitable
EV +3.11%
Avantage +0.794%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.24%26.28%27.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.9230.30%28.48%28.57%25.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SV Zulte-Waregem (Local) : 46.08% ; SK Beveren (Visiteur) : 27.62% ; Match nul : 26.30%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.92, soit une espérance positive de +3.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -5.08%E -2.47%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV -4.44%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.78%EV +3.11%E +0.794%K +1.07%G +0.033%3.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.99%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:49
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -6.46%E -3.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:48
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:49
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.24%EV -3.70%E -1.77%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -0.297%E -0.082%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -5.83%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -8.31%E -4.17%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -8.31%E -4.17%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.573%E -0.159%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:44
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:45
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.77%E -4.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.62%EV -9.69%E -4.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.15%E -5.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Suprabets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.46%E -3.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.92%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:47
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:44
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.18%EV -12.91%E -6.83%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -11.53%E -6.01%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -12.45%E -6.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -12.45%E -6.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-08-22 13:35
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-08-22 13:45