Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Zulte-Waregem v SK Beveren

Início: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: SV Zulte-Waregem 4–0 SK Beveren

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Previsão 46.08%2.17odd justa
EV -3.70%
Vantagem -1.77%
Kelly -3.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.76%46.16%46.08%47.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.992.002.0952.91%50.34%50.00%47.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SK Beveren (Visitante)

Previsão 27.62%3.62odd justa
EV +2.19%
Vantagem +0.592%
Kelly +0.811%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.93%27.60%27.63%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.383.353.7032.26%29.62%29.85%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.30%3.80odd justa
EV +3.11%
Vantagem +0.794%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescimento +0.033%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.78%26.24%26.28%27.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.513.503.9230.30%28.48%28.57%25.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SV Zulte-Waregem (Local): 46.08%; SK Beveren (Visitante): 27.62%; Empate: 26.30%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.80. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.92, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -5.08%E -2.47%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV -4.44%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.78%EV +3.11%E +0.794%K +1.07%G +0.033%3.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 12:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.68%E -0.723%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.99%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:49
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.00%E -2.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +2.19%E +0.592%K +0.811%G +0.018%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -6.46%E -3.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:48
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.31%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:49
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.24%EV -3.70%E -1.77%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -0.297%E -0.082%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -5.83%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -8.31%E -4.17%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.97%EV -8.31%E -4.17%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.573%E -0.159%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:44
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:45
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.23%E -4.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:44
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.77%E -4.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.62%EV -9.69%E -4.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.15%E -5.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.34%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Suprabets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.46%E -3.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.92%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:47
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:44
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.18%EV -12.91%E -6.83%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.61%E -5.47%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -6.92%E -3.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -11.53%E -6.01%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.88%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -12.45%E -6.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.67%EV -12.45%E -6.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 13:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-08-22 13:35
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-08-22 13:45