Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem v Cercle Brugge KSV

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prediction 36.97%2.70fair odd
EV +0.201%
Edge +0.074%
Kelly +0.117%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.79%36.92%36.78%39.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.452.7144.44%40.52%40.82%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit)

Prediction 35.90%2.79fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.58%35.97%36.01%37.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.622.652.8842.02%38.13%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.95%27.10%27.22%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.403.403.6034.72%29.45%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Zulte-Waregem (Local): 36.97%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit): 35.90%; Draw: 27.13%. For Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV +3.38%E +1.17%K +1.80%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV +3.38%E +1.17%K +1.80%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -10.15%E -4.18%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -10.15%E -4.18%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:44
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:29
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:30
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -13.85%E -5.94%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -1.28%E -0.479%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.97%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -5.59%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.70%EV -4.61%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.46%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.70%EV -4.61%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.46%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 12:49
Suprabets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.21%EV -7.19%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.98%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.80%EV -8.85%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:27
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.83%EV +0.201%E +0.074%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.50%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.66%EV -4.78%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:30
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 12:29
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 12:29
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:29
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 13:44
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:44
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 05:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.97%EV -8.30%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.39%EV -8.10%E -3.17%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.06%EV -9.93%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.72%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.169%E -0.063%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.169%E -0.063%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:44
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 05:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 11:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 11:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -12.37%E -5.22%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.05%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 11:19
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -13.85%E -5.77%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.78%EV -16.81%E -7.47%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -13.85%E -5.77%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -21.87%E -7.59%K -11.63%G +0.000%20.8%2026-04-04 07:24
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -14.57%E -6.12%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-04 13:45
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.91%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.18%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-04-04 13:44