La escuela de los momios

SV Zulte-Waregem v Cercle Brugge KSV

Inicio: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Predicción 36.97%2.70momio equitativo
EV +0.201%
Ventaja +0.074%
Kelly +0.117%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.79%36.92%36.78%39.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.452.7144.44%40.52%40.82%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante)

Predicción 35.90%2.79momio equitativo
EV +3.38%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.58%35.97%36.01%37.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.622.652.8842.02%38.13%37.74%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.13%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -0.898%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.95%27.10%27.22%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.403.6034.72%29.45%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV +3.38%E +1.17%K +1.80%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV +3.38%E +1.17%K +1.80%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -10.15%E -4.18%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -10.15%E -4.18%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:44
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:29
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:30
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:30
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 13:40
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -13.85%E -5.94%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -1.28%E -0.479%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.97%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -5.59%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.70%EV -4.61%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.46%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 12:50
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.70%EV -4.61%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.46%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 12:49
Suprabets2.51I 39.84%NM 37.21%EV -7.19%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.98%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.80%EV -8.85%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:27
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.83%EV +0.201%E +0.074%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.50%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.66%EV -4.78%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:29
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:30
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 12:29
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 12:29
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:30
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:29
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 13:44
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:44
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:29
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 05:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.97%EV -8.30%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:35
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.39%EV -8.10%E -3.17%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.06%EV -9.93%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.72%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:39
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.169%E -0.063%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:45
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.169%E -0.063%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:40
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 05:29
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 11:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 11:19
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 11:19
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -12.37%E -5.22%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 13:44
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.05%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 11:19
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -13.85%E -5.77%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.78%EV -16.81%E -7.47%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -13.85%E -5.77%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -21.87%E -7.59%K -11.63%G +0.000%20.8%2026-04-04 07:24
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -14.57%E -6.12%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-04 13:45
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.91%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.18%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-04-04 13:44