L’École des cotes

SV Zulte-Waregem v Cercle Brugge KSV

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prévision 36.97%2.70cote équitable
EV +0.201%
Avantage +0.074%
Kelly +0.117%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.79%36.92%36.78%39.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.452.7144.44%40.52%40.82%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.90%2.79cote équitable
EV +3.38%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.58%35.97%36.01%37.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.622.652.8842.02%38.13%37.74%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.13%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.649%
Kelly -0.898%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.95%27.10%27.22%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.403.403.6034.72%29.45%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV +3.38%E +1.17%K +1.80%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:40
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV +3.38%E +1.17%K +1.80%G +0.061%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -10.15%E -4.18%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -10.15%E -4.18%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:44
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:29
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:30
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV +0.511%E +0.182%K +0.284%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:30
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.28%E -0.467%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 13:40
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -13.85%E -5.94%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -1.28%E -0.479%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.97%EV -3.44%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -5.59%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.70%EV -4.61%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.46%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 12:50
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.70%EV -4.61%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.46%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 12:49
Suprabets2.51I 39.84%NM 37.21%EV -7.19%E -2.87%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.98%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.80%EV -8.85%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:27
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.83%EV +0.201%E +0.074%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.50%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.66%EV -4.78%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 11:20
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:29
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:30
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 12:29
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 12:29
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:30
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 13:29
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 13:44
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:44
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 05:29
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 05:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.67%E -2.56%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.97%EV -8.30%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:35
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.39%EV -8.10%E -3.17%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.06%EV -9.93%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.72%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:39
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 13:39
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.169%E -0.063%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:45
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.169%E -0.063%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 13:40
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 05:29
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 11:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 11:19
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 11:19
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -12.37%E -5.22%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 13:44
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.05%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 11:19
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -13.85%E -5.77%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.78%EV -16.81%E -7.47%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -13.85%E -5.77%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -21.87%E -7.59%K -11.63%G +0.000%20.8%2026-04-04 07:24
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -14.57%E -6.12%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-04 13:45
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-04 13:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-04 13:45
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.91%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.18%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-04-04 13:44