Language:English
Sint Truiden v Lommel SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sint Truiden (Local)
Prediction 65.24%1.53fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.36%65.03%65.34%66.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.441.5073.53%69.80%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lommel SK (Visit)
Prediction 14.13%7.08fair odd
EV +7.38%
Edge +0.971%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 7.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.62%14.22%14.11%15.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.386.457.6017.54%15.67%15.50%13.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.63%4.85fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.540%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.83%20.75%20.54%22.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.404.7525.00%22.82%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sint Truiden (Local): 65.24%; Lommel SK (Visit): 14.13%; Draw: 20.63%. For Lommel SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.62%EV +7.38%E +0.971%K +1.12%G +0.083% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.03%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.19%EV +0.316%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -8.66%E -6.18%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -3.06%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.14%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.25%EV -3.78%E -0.555%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.61%EV -2.85%E -0.605%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.13%E -1.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.13%E -1.42%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.13%EV -8.00%E -5.68%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.09%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.25%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV -5.34%E -0.796%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.25%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV -5.34%E -0.796%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -6.75%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.06%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -6.75%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.06%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -6.75%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.06%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.03%E -0.426%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.70%E -4.69%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.66%E -6.18%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.57%E -1.50%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -9.57%E -1.50%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37%EV -10.28%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.12%EV -11.27%E -8.28%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.28%EV -12.40%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.84%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.66%E -6.18%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.37%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.27%E -8.28%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.27%E -8.28%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.66%EV -11.27%E -8.28%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -12.34%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.70%EV -8.00%E -5.68%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -16.64%E -2.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -6.70%E -4.69%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.51%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.51%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.51%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.40%EV -9.31%E -6.70%K -23.87%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -19.46%E -3.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |