The School of Odds

Sint Truiden v Lommel SK

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -54.64%
Kelly -120.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%0.00%0.00%55.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.691.8362%59%59%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lommel SK (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -21.05%
Kelly -26.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.74%0.00%0.00%20.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.404.584.554.7523%22%22%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -26.67%
Kelly -36.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.11%0.00%0.00%27.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.7530%28%28%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.15%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.26%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.58%4.8%2026-07-14 18:18
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%9.7%2026-07-14 19:04
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%5.9%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%10.1%2026-07-14 18:19
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%10.6%2026-07-14 18:18
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%13.0%2026-07-14 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20