Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sint Truiden v Lommel SK

Início: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 1–1 Lommel SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Previsão 65.24%1.53odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -4.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.36%65.03%65.34%66.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.431.441.5073.53%69.80%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lommel SK (Visitante)

Previsão 14.13%7.08odd justa
EV +7.38%
Vantagem +0.971%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescimento +0.083%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.62%14.22%14.11%15.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.706.386.457.6017.54%15.67%15.50%13.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.63%4.85odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.426%
Kelly -0.540%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.83%20.75%20.54%22.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.384.404.7525.00%22.82%22.73%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sint Truiden (Local): 65.24%; Lommel SK (Visitante): 14.13%; Empate: 20.63%. Para Lommel SK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.08. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.38%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.62%EV +7.38%E +0.971%K +1.12%G +0.083%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 18:30
Suprabets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.03%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.19%EV +0.316%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -8.66%E -6.18%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -3.06%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:39
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.14%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.25%EV -3.78%E -0.555%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.61%EV -2.85%E -0.605%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.13%E -1.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.13%E -1.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.13%EV -8.00%E -5.68%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.09%E -0.879%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -4.63%E -0.686%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV -5.34%E -0.796%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:39
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV -5.34%E -0.796%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -6.75%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.06%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -6.75%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.06%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:29
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -6.75%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.06%E -0.650%K -0.826%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:29
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -9.24%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 18:39
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.03%E -0.426%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:15
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:14
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.70%E -4.69%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 18:29
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.66%E -6.18%K -21.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.57%E -1.50%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:14
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -9.57%E -1.50%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37%EV -10.28%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:39
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.12%EV -11.27%E -8.28%K -31.30%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.28%EV -12.40%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -11.31%E -2.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:20
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.84%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:39
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 14:04
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.66%E -6.18%K -21.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.37%E -3.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.27%E -8.28%K -31.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.27%E -8.28%K -31.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.69%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.66%EV -11.27%E -8.28%K -31.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -15.23%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -12.34%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.70%EV -8.00%E -5.68%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -16.64%E -2.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.12%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -5.40%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -6.70%E -4.69%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.43%E -3.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.51%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.51%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.51%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -18.05%E -3.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -17.50%E -4.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.40%EV -9.31%E -6.70%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -19.46%E -3.41%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -7.18%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-08-08 18:35