L’École des cotes

Sint Truiden v Lommel SK

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prévision 53.53%1.87cote équitable
EV -4.72%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -6.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.85%53.84%53.33%56.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.701.701.7864.52%58.88%58.82%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lommel SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.55%4.87cote équitable
EV +2.75%
Avantage +0.550%
Kelly +0.688%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.71%20.39%20.55%21.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.454.405.0023.81%22.48%22.73%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.393%
Kelly -0.534%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.61%25.77%26.12%26.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.483.8030.30%28.45%28.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +2.75%E +0.550%K +0.688%G +0.019%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -1.50%E -0.393%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 09:45
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -2.39%E -0.503%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 18:18
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.50%EV -4.24%E -0.909%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.21%EV -1.75%E -0.463%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-14 18:19
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -6.50%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 12:39
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 20:44
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:03
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -11.68%E -7.08%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-14 18:18
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 01:10
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 01:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 14:04
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 14:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 14:00
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 18:24
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:35
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:39
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:40
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:40
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:40
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 20:50
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 22:38
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.00%E -5.30%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 23:55
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -13.29%E -8.20%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-14 18:15
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -13.29%E -8.20%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-14 20:39
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 54.38%EV -17.03%E -10.99%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.07%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.54%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-24 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-15 07:19