Language:English
Sint Truiden v Cercle Brugge KSV
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sint Truiden (Local)
Prediction 54.29%1.84fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -4.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.04%54.27%54.36%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.721.7862.11%58.30%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit)
Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV +0.760%
Edge +0.169%
Kelly +0.218%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.58%22.51%22.44%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.204.4926.67%24.22%23.81%22.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.25%23.22%23.20%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.974.004.2527.03%25.19%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sint Truiden (Local): 54.29%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit): 22.44%; Draw: 23.26%. For Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.760%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.58%EV +0.760%E +0.169%K +0.218%G +0.002% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -3.45%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.26%EV -2.61%E -0.600%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.17%EV -2.99%E -0.716%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.56%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -1.12%E -0.265%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.56%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -1.12%E -0.265%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.78%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.16%E -4.19%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.29%E -0.545%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.51%EV -7.64%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.29%E -0.545%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.79%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -10.41%E -6.31%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.47%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -11.81%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 17:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.11%EV -12.59%E -7.82%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.55%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -9.87%E -5.95%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-08 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.92% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |