La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sint Truiden v Cercle Brugge KSV
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sint Truiden (Local)
Predicción 54.29%1.84momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -4.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.04%54.27%54.36%55.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.721.721.7862.11%58.30%58.14%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante)
Predicción 22.44%4.46momio equitativo
EV +0.760%
Ventaja +0.169%
Kelly +0.218%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.58%22.51%22.44%23.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.134.204.4926.67%24.22%23.81%22.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.26%4.30momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.265%
Kelly -0.346%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.25%23.22%23.20%23.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.974.004.2527.03%25.19%25.00%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.58%EV +0.760%E +0.169%K +0.218%G +0.002% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -3.45%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.26%EV -2.61%E -0.600%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.17%EV -2.99%E -0.716%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.56%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -1.12%E -0.265%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.56%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -1.12%E -0.265%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.78%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.16%E -4.19%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.29%E -0.545%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:08 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:08 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Suprabets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.51%EV -7.64%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 17:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.29%E -0.545%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.79%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -10.41%E -6.31%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.47%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -11.81%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 17:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.11%EV -12.59%E -7.82%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.55%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -9.87%E -5.95%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-08 17:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.92% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |