L’École des cotes

Sint Truiden v Cercle Brugge KSV

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prévision 54.29%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -4.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.04%54.27%54.36%55.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.721.721.7862.11%58.30%58.14%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.44%4.46cote équitable
EV +0.760%
Avantage +0.169%
Kelly +0.218%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.58%22.51%22.44%23.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.204.4926.67%24.22%23.81%22.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.26%4.30cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.265%
Kelly -0.346%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.25%23.22%23.20%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.974.004.2527.03%25.19%25.00%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.58%EV +0.760%E +0.169%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -3.45%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 18:10
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.26%EV -2.61%E -0.600%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.17%EV -2.99%E -0.716%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 18:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 17:59
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.11%EV -3.36%E -1.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 17:59
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.50%E -0.815%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:44
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.56%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -1.12%E -0.265%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 17:44
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.56%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%EV -1.12%E -0.265%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 17:45
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:59
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:59
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.63%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.78%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:10
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:09
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 17:44
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.16%E -4.19%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.29%E -0.545%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 18:09
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 17:59
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 17:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:08
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:08
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:04
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:09
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 18:09
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 17:59
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:04
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:04
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.75%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.51%EV -7.64%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:50
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.29%E -0.545%K -0.715%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:09
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:59
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.91%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.99%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.61%E -3.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 18:04
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 18:09
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 18:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.79%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 18:09
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 17:59
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 18:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 18:10
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 18:09
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -10.41%E -6.31%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.36%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.47%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -11.81%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 17:48
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 17:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 17:49
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.11%EV -12.59%E -7.82%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -12.48%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.55%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -9.87%E -5.95%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -15.85%E -4.23%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-03-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-03-08 18:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-08 18:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%2.8%2026-03-08 18:09
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-03-08 18:10